US Dollar Index Rises to 98.85 as Trade Optimism and Easing Shutdown Concerns Lift Sentiment

Market Overview

The US Dollar Index (DXY) extended its winning streak for a third consecutive session on Tuesday, advancing toward 98.85 during early European hours. The greenback remains well supported after rebounding from last Friday’s low of 98.00, with risk appetite improving across global markets.

Trade Deal Optimism Boosts the Dollar

Market sentiment turned more upbeat following remarks from US President Donald Trump, who reiterated optimism about reaching a “fair deal” with China. Trump confirmed that he will meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea next week, expressing confidence that the two sides could strengthen what he called a “very good relationship.”

This renewed optimism around trade negotiations helped ease fears of further tariff escalations and lifted demand for the US Dollar, as investors shifted toward risk assets amid expectations of a possible breakthrough in US–China talks.

Government Shutdown Nearing an End?

Further support for the Dollar came from reports suggesting progress toward resolving the federal government shutdown, which has now entered its fourth week. The director of the US National Economic Council signaled that a deal could be reached “within days,” easing concerns about the prolonged political stalemate.

The shutdown has delayed several key US economic reports, including employment and inflation data, potentially complicating the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook ahead of next week’s FOMC meeting. Still, the prospect of a resolution has improved overall market tone and supported the greenback.

Technical Outlook

From a technical perspective, the DXY remains in short-term recovery mode, supported above the 98.50 handle. Immediate resistance is seen at 98.85, the intraday high, followed by 99.00, while 98.30 acts as key support. A sustained move above 99.00 could reinforce bullish momentum heading into the Fed’s meeting, while a dip below 98.30 would expose the index to renewed downside pressure.

What Traders Are Watching

• Progress on US–China trade negotiations ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting
• Developments related to the US government shutdown and potential reopening
• Market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s policy guidance next week
• Key DXY levels: support at 98.30, resistance at 99.00

Summary

The US Dollar Index continues to climb, trading near 98.85 as optimism over a potential US–China trade deal and signs of a government shutdown resolution boost risk sentiment. While data delays pose a challenge for the Fed’s policy assessment, improving market confidence has kept the Dollar supported ahead of next week’s key central bank meeting.

News FAQ

Q: Why did the US Dollar Index rise today?
The Dollar strengthened as market sentiment improved following renewed optimism about a potential trade agreement between the United States and China. Hopes for an end to the US government shutdown also contributed to positive momentum.

Q: What role did US–China trade talks play in the Dollar’s movement?
Comments from President Trump confirming an upcoming meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping boosted expectations of progress toward a trade deal, encouraging investors to buy risk assets and supporting the Dollar.

Q: How is the government shutdown affecting the market?
The ongoing shutdown has delayed key US economic data releases, creating uncertainty for the Federal Reserve ahead of its next policy decision. However, signs that a resolution may be near helped lift market confidence.

Q: What are the key technical levels for DXY right now?
Immediate resistance lies around 98.85–99.00, while initial support is near 98.30. A break above 99.00 could open the door to further gains, while a move below 98.30 might trigger renewed weakness.

Q: What events could impact the Dollar next?
Traders are closely watching the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, any developments from the Trump–Xi summit, and fresh US economic data releases once the shutdown ends.

Disclaimer

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Market conditions and data may change without notice. Readers should perform their own analysis or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.