Oil Slips to $62 as Ukraine Talks Hint at Sanctions Relief

Oil Prices Decline as Ukraine Peace Talks Raise Prospects of Sanctions Relief

Crude oil prices extended their decline on Tuesday, with the more actively traded October WTI futures contract settling at $62.07 per barrel, down 63 cents, or 1%. Traders reassessed geopolitical risk after renewed diplomatic efforts suggested that sanctions on Russian crude could eventually be eased, raising the prospect of increased global supply.

Geopolitical Developments Pressure Crude

The sell-off followed Monday’s White House meeting between US President Donald Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, and European allies. Trump later announced on social media that he had spoken with Russian President Vladimir Putin and was arranging a trilateral summit involving Putin and Zelenskiy.

For oil markets, the possibility of progress in the Russia–Ukraine conflict carries significant implications. Any move toward sanctions relief on Russian crude could unlock additional barrels into the market, exacerbating oversupply concerns and pressuring oil benchmarks lower.

Fed Policy Outlook: Demand-Side Support

On the demand front, oil prices found a partial cushion from growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. Softer US economic data has reinforced bets that the Fed will ease policy, with the CME FedWatch Tool showing an 84% probability of a 25-basis point cut.

Lower borrowing costs may stimulate economic activity in the United States — the world’s largest oil consumer — offering some demand-side support for crude prices even as supply risks weigh on sentiment.

Jackson Hole Symposium in Focus

Looking ahead, the Jackson Hole Symposium later this week is a key event for traders. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver remarks on the economy and the central bank’s policy stance. Any dovish signals could further weaken the US Dollar and provide indirect support to oil prices by improving demand prospects.

Key Takeaways for Experienced Energy Traders

• WTI crude oil prices dropped to $62.07, pressured by progress in Ukraine peace talks and possible sanctions relief on Russian supply.
• Diplomatic developments remain a key bearish driver as potential supply additions overshadow short-term demand optimism.
• Federal Reserve policy outlook may provide a counterbalance, with an expected September rate cut supporting US demand for crude.
• Jackson Hole Symposium will be closely watched for signals on US monetary policy and broader risk sentiment.